CURVARIO Private build
Balance Sheet Strategy and Risk Analytics

The balance sheet and its controls, as one system.

Curvario is for the teams who plan, stress and run a bank's balance sheet: forecasting and planning, treasury and balance sheet risk, and enterprise stress testing. One set of positions and curves in GBES, the Global Banking Ecosystem data model, carries all of it, with the controls built in.

Register interest

AI-native agents above a deterministic core Model risk Policy frameworks BCBS 239 lineage Back book Frontbook FTP Forecast Earnings Valuation Structuralhedge Reporting ALCO, board, regulatory and financial GBES ecosystem
Back book The positions you hold today, run off contractually and behaviourally to maturity.
The problem

The numbers pass through five systems. The controls sit outside all of them.

The curve lives in one system. The positions in another. The forecast is a spreadsheet, FTP is a separate tool and the hedge programme is managed somewhere else again.

The controls are further away still. The model inventory is a spreadsheet. Policies sit in a document library. BCBS 239 is an annual attestation, and the EVE and NII disclosures for Pillar 3 and the annual report are assembled after the fact. Each framework is sound on paper, and each runs beside the workflow instead of inside it.

The cost is in the joins: re-keying, reconciling, evidencing the same control twice, and explaining to the committee why two reports built from the same balance sheet disagree.

Curvario brings the controls into the workflow, so the model, the policy and the lineage are recorded as the numbers are made.

Who it's for

Which are you interested in?

Finance, planning and treasury planning teams

Plan the balance sheet on the numbers risk already uses.

  • Plans per entity, month by month, brought together for the group.
  • Front-book volumes, pricing and margins on the same product definitions as the back book.
  • NII measured as it is earned, with FTP splitting it between the business and treasury.
  • Scenario runs from the same plan, so the budget and the rate view do not drift apart.
Register interest
See it work

One scenario, from the curve to a three-year earnings forecast.

Pick a scenario. The curve moves first, then the earnings, because the balance sheet is priced off that curve and reprices on its own timetable. The same run answers the interest rate risk question and gives the forecast.

Parallel up
Sterling curve 1 month +250bp, 30 years +250bp
0% 2% 4% 6% 1M1Y2Y5Y10Y20Y30Y Base Shocked
Change in NII against base, £m a quarter Full year: Y1 +£77m Y2 +£168m Y3 +£447m
+200 +100 0 −100 −200 Year 1Year 2Year 3 Base
The six Basel IRRBB interest rate shocks at the GBP sizes (250bp parallel, 300bp short, 150bp long), applied to an illustrative sterling curve and an illustrative £100bn retail book on a constant balance sheet. Floating lending reprices at once. Savings rates follow half of each move, current accounts barely move and neither goes below zero, which is why falling rates hurt more than rising rates help. Fixed mortgages, term deposits and the structural hedge reprice as they roll, and mortgages prepay faster when rates fall.
What it covers

One platform, from market data to the ALCO pack.

Market modelling
Yield curves bootstrapped from market data. Shock and stress scenarios, including the six Basel IRRBB shocks. Forward rate matrices, spread history and VaR.
Balance sheet
Positions, period close, and contractual and behavioural cash flows. Repricing gap profiles cut by product, currency and entity.
EVE and NII
Economic value and earnings sensitivity under each scenario you run, from the headline number down to the position that drives it.
Forecasting
Balance sheet plans with back book run-off and front book growth. NII projected per entity, then brought together for the group.
Funds transfer pricing
Matched-maturity and replicating-portfolio FTP, priced off the same curves the risk numbers use.
Structural hedge
Hedge programmes, liability pools and portfolios, sized against the book they are meant to protect.
Pricing and behaviour
Managed-rate pricing grids, deposit betas and prepayment assumptions. Governed, versioned and visible to the modules that use them.
Scenarios and stress
Rate, balance sheet and macroeconomic scenarios carried through curves, balances, earnings and valuation together.
Governance
Model risk, policy frameworks and BCBS 239 data lineage, built into the same system as the numbers they govern.
How it is built

Plumbing first.

  1. One data model

    The modules read the same positions, curves and assumptions, held in GBES, the Global Banking Ecosystem data model. Nothing is exported from one tool to be re-keyed into the next.

  2. Deterministic where it matters

    The engines are plain, testable calculation. An LLM never touches the reconciliation path.

  3. Numbers you can walk back

    A figure on an ALCO page should lead back to the run, the curve and the assumption that produced it. That is the standard Curvario is built to.

Who is behind it

Built by a practitioner.

Curvario is built by Neuro-XI. Its founder, Stephen Harvey, has implemented and overseen interest rate risk measurement at two global systemically important banks and one domestic one. Curvario is the system he wanted on the desk.

He also writes irrbb.com, an independent site on interest rate risk in the banking book.

Early access

Curvario is in private build.

Curvario is in development and parts of it are still being built. If you plan, stress or run a balance sheet and would like an early look, or a say in what comes next, get in touch.

hello@neuro-xi.com